Model Performance, Bias, and Fairness in Machine Learning

1. Model Performance Issues

  • Inference: The output of a trained machine learning model is an inference, which is essentially a prediction or classification based on new data.
  • Overfitting:
  • Definition: The model performs well on training data but poorly on new, unseen data. It becomes too specialized to the training set, failing to generalize.
  • Cause: The model fits the training data too closely and may emphasize irrelevant details (noise).
  • Solution: Train with more diverse data to avoid overfitting. Stop training once the model reaches the “sweet spot” where it can generalize well to new data.
  • Underfitting:
  • Definition: The model is too simple and cannot capture meaningful patterns in the data, leading to poor performance on both training and new data.
  • Cause: Insufficient training, too small of a dataset, or too simple of a model.
  • Solution: Train for longer or use a more complex model if needed.

2. Bias in Machine Learning

  • Bias: Occurs when a model shows disparities in performance for different groups, leading to skewed results that favor or disadvantage certain classes.
  • Example: A loan approval model trained on data that doesn’t include enough diverse applicants could become biased against certain groups (e.g., women in specific locations).
  • Cause: The training data may not be representative of the diversity of real-world scenarios, leading to skewed predictions.
  • Solution:
  • Diverse Data: Ensure the training data is representative of all relevant groups to avoid bias.
  • Feature Weighting: Remove or adjust biased features (e.g., gender or age) from the model.
  • Fairness Constraints: Identify and address potential biases (like age or sex discrimination) early in the process.
  • Ongoing Evaluation: Continuously evaluate models for fairness and adjust if necessary.

3. Ensuring Model Fairness

  • Quality of Data: The quality and quantity of the training data directly affect model accuracy and fairness.
  • Bias Detection: Inspect and evaluate the training data to check for potential biases before building the model.
  • Continuous Monitoring: Periodically evaluate the model’s output to ensure it remains fair across different demographic groups.

Key Terms to Remember:

  • Inference: The output or prediction made by a trained machine learning model.
  • Overfitting: When a model performs well on training data but poorly on new data, due to being too tailored to the training set.
  • Underfitting: When a model is too simplistic and fails to capture the underlying patterns in the data.
  • Bias: Disparities in model performance across different groups, leading to skewed results.
  • Fairness: Ensuring that models do not discriminate against any particular group based on factors like age, gender, or location.
  • Feature Weighting: Adjusting or removing biased features in a model to improve fairness.
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